a Cardiology Division, Department of Medicine, University Hospital Basel, Switzerland
b Cardiovascular Research Institute Basel, Switzerland
c Population Health Research Institute, McMaster University, Hamilton, Canada
d Institute of Primary Health Care (BIHAM), University of Bern, Switzerland
e Department of General Internal Medicine, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, University of Bern, Switzerland
f Department of Cardiology, Triemli Hospital Zurich, Switzerland
g Department of Medicine, Cantonal Hospital of Baden and Molecular Cardiology, University Hospital of Zurich, Switzerland
h Department of Cardiology, Cardiocentro Ticino Lugano, Switzerland
i Department of Cardiology, Kantonsspital St Gallen, Switzerland
j Department of Internal Medicine, HFR-Hôpital Cantonal Fribourg, Switzerland
k Department of Cardiology, Luzerner Kantonsspital, Switzerland
l Department of Cardiology, Ospedale Regionale di Lugano, Switzerland
m Cardiology Service, Department of Medicine Specialities, University Hospital Geneva, Switzerland
n Department of Cardiology, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois, Lausanne, Switzerland
o Department of Cardiology, Bürgerspital Solothurn, Switzerland
p Department of Cardiology, Ospedale San Giovanni, Bellinzona, Switzerland
q Department of Biomedicine, University Hospital Basel, Switzerland
r Neurology Division and Stroke Centre, Department of Clinical Research, University Hospital Basel, Switzerland
s Department of Cardiology, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, and University of Bern, Switzerland
t Department of Radiology, Inselspital, Bern University Hospital, and University of Bern, Switzerland
u Memory Clinic, Universitäre Altersmedizin, Felix Platter Hospital Basel, University of Basel, Switzerland
v Division of diagnostic and interventional neuroradiology, University Hospital Basel, Switzerland
w Medical Image Analysis Centre (MIAC AG) Basel, Switzerland
x Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Prevention Institute, University of Zürich, Switzerland
Several studies found that patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have an increased risk of cognitive decline and dementia over time. However, the magnitude of the problem, associated risk factors and underlying mechanisms remain unclear.
This article describes the design and methodology of the Swiss Atrial Fibrillation (Swiss-AF) Cohort Study, a prospective multicentre national cohort study of 2400 patients across 13 sites in Switzerland. Eligible patients must have documented AF. Main exclusion criteria are the inability to provide informed consent and the presence of exclusively short episodes of reversible forms of AF. All patients undergo extensive phenotyping and genotyping, including repeated assessment of cognitive functions, quality of life, disability, electrocardiography and cerebral magnetic resonance imaging. We also collect information on health related costs, and we assemble a large biobank. Key clinical outcomes in Swiss-AF are death, stroke, systemic embolism, bleeding, hospitalisation for heart failure and myocardial infarction. Information on outcomes and updates on other characteristics are being collected during yearly follow-up visits.
Up to 7 April 2017, we have enrolled 2133 patients into Swiss-AF. With the current recruitment rate of 15 to 20 patients per week, we expect that the target sample size of 2400 patients will be reached by summer 2017.
Swiss-AF is a large national prospective cohort of patients with AF in Switzerland. This study will provide important new information on structural and functional brain damage in patients with AF and on other AF related complications, using a large variety of genetic, phenotypic and health economic parameters.
Keywords: atrial fibrillation, cognitive decline, dementia, magnetic resonance imaging, stroke: epidemiology
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia in the general population [1, 2]. As a result of the ongoing ageing of our population and other factors, the incidence of AF is expected to further increase in the near future . Compared with individuals without AF, AF patients have an increased risk of serious complications, including death, stroke and congestive heart failure [4–7].
Cognitive dysfunction and dementia put an enormous socioeconomic burden on public health for ageing societies . Recent evidence suggests an increased risk of dementia among AF patients [9–12]. For example, the relative risk (95% confidence interval) of cognitive impairment in a meta-analysis of 21 individual studies was 1.34 (1.13–1.58) in individuals with AF without a prior stroke, and 2.70 (1.82–4.00) in those with a prior stroke . These data suggest that a prior stroke substantially increases the risk of cognitive impairment in AF patients. However, these studies also showed that this relationship is partly independent of clinically overt strokes, but the underlying mechanisms are currently unknown.
Cerebral magnetic resonance imaging (cMRI) provides detailed information on brain structure and function. The occurrence of silent cerebral infarctions (SCI), which have been found in up to 11% of individuals from the general population , could be mechanistically involved in the occurrence of cognitive impairment among AF patients (fig. 1). Cerebral microbleeds (fig. 2) are another structural correlate that potentially explain the link between AF and cognitive dysfunction , as some studies found a higher prevalence of microbleeds in patients with stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA) and a history of AF . Other factors such as progression of the arrhythmia, concomitant diseases or medical treatments may also contribute to the cognitive decline in AF patients.
However, large systematic investigations on the relationship of cMRI parameters and cognitive decline in AF patients are currently unavailable. Therefore, one of the key aims of this large prospective cohort study is to assess the interrelationships between structural alterations on cMRI and cognitive decline among patients with established AF, in order to improve our knowledge on this crucial public health problems. This research platform will also allow us to assess differences in cognitive function and brain lesions on cMRI among patients with different AF types. In this publication, we describe the detailed methodology of the Swiss Atrial Fibrillation (Swiss-AF) cohort study.
Swiss-AF is a prospective multicentre observational cohort study across 13 centres in Switzerland. Eligible patients must be ≥65 years old and have either paroxysmal AF defined as: self-terminating AF lasting <7 days that does not require cardioversion  and that was documented at least twice within the last 60 months; persistent AF defined as AF sustained ≥7 days and/or requiring cardioversion, documented within the last 60 months by ECG or rhythm monitoring devices; or permanent AF (cardioversion has failed or not been attempted). The most current guidelines at the time of protocol preparation were used for Swiss-AF. In order to assess the socioeconomic aspects of AF in individuals who are potentially part of the active workforce, we aim to enrol 300 participants aged 45–65 years into the study. Main exclusion criteria for Swiss AF are the inability to provide informed consent, the presence of exclusively nonsustained episodes of secondary forms of AF (e.g., after cardiac surgery or severe sepsis) or any acute illness within the last 4 weeks. The latter group of patients is eligible for enrolment after stabilisation of their acute episode. Eligible candidates for enrolment in Swiss-AF were obtained by comprehensive screening of in- and outpatients in participating hospitals and by contacting general practitioners in the area. The study protocol has been approved by the local ethics committees, and informed written consent is obtained from each participant.
An overview of the study procedures is provided in table 1. The study case report forms have been previously validated and collect detailed information on personal characteristics, risk factors, co-morbidities, current medications, physical activity, nutrition and medication adherence. Detailed information on medical resource use is obtained. All data are collected in a standardized manner by trained study personnel. De-identified data are entered in a web-based database hosted by the Clinical Trial Unit in Basel.
|Procedure||Baseline||Year 1||Year 2||Year 3||Year 4+*|
|Written informed consent||X|
|Study case report form||X||X||X||X||(X)|
|Disability, quality of life||X||X||X||X||(X)|
Body weight is obtained from each participant in light clothing and without shoes using a calibrated device. Body height is measured without shoes using a calibrated device. Heart rate is obtained by pulse palpation for at least 30 seconds. Blood pressure is measured in a supine position after at least 5 minutes of rest using a validated oscillometric device. Three consecutive measures are obtained, and the mean of the last two will be used for most analyses.
Resting 16-lead ECG recordings of 5 minutes duration are obtained in all participants using the same ECG acquisition technology at all centres (CS-200 Excellence and CS-200 Touch, Schiller AG, Baar, Switzerland). The digital ECGs are stored with a sampling frequency of 1 kHz (signal bandwidth 0.04–387 Hz) and a resolution of 1 µV/bit. The sampling frequency is twice as high as that of standard ECG devices and will allow advanced signal processing analyses focusing on P-wave markers during sinus rhythm (morphology and variability) as well as fibrillatory markers during AF (AF amplitudes and rate, entropy, RR variability). All de-identified ECG recordings are being stored in a central ECG core laboratory at the Cardiocentro in Lugano.
Non-fasting venous blood samples are collected from each patient at baseline and at 2 years of follow-up, following written standard operating procedures. Serum, plasma, whole blood and gene expression samples are obtained, processed immediately, centrifuged if necessary and aliquoted into cryotubes to be stored at ˗80°C in a centralised biobank at the University Hospital Basel. All enrolled participants are currently undergoing genotyping using the HumanCoreExome-12 BeadChip platform. More advanced genetic analyses will be planned in the future.
Cerebral magnetic resonance imaging
A standardised cMRI-protocol that does not need application of contrast agents has been implemented in all participating centres and is shown in table 2. The cMRI core protocol has been installed on an MR scanner at each participating site, at either 1.5 or 3 Tesla. Individual patients are investigated on the same scanner with identical sequence protocol at baseline and after 2 years whenever possible.
|MRI sequence||Orientation||Slice thickness|
|Fluid Attenuated Inversion Recovery (FLAIR)||axial||3 mm|
|Diffusion weighted imaging (EPI)||axial||3 mm|
|Susceptibility weighted imaging (SWI, T2*)||axial||3 mm|
|High-resolution 3D-T1w MP-RAGE||sagittal||1 mm (isotropic)|
|Time of flight MR-angiography (ToF)||axial||0.8 mm|
Data are being checked and evaluated first on site and then transferred to the Medical Image Analysis Centre (MIAC AG) Basel, which serves as the central neuroimaging core lab. MIAC has set up an interne-tbased data transfer (webportal) in order to receive, check and accept cMRI studies from the participating sites, as well as to communicate with them. Participating sites had to perform a dummy test scan with all required sequences, including a repositioning scan for control purposes. Only after the test scan had been accepted by the MIAC, could sites proceed with the inclusion of patients. De-identified images are transferred electronically. MIAC provides quality assessment forms for all studies. All images are analysed by trained MRI technicians and validated by board-certified radiologists according to a prespecified analysis plan. Lesions are evaluated using the AMIRA software which calculates volumes and number of lesions. Atrophy measurements are calculated by means of SIENA X (normalised brain volume) and SIENA [17, 18].
Study personnel have been trained centrally to perform a standardized neurocognitive assessment. A series of instruments has been selected based on literature review and discussion with experts, and are shown in table 3.
The Montreal Cognitive Assessment evaluates visuospatial and executive functions, confrontation naming, memory, attention, language and abstraction . Patients can obtain a maximum of 30 points and a score of <26 usually indicates cognitive impairment. The Trail Making Test, parts A and B increase the depth of assessment with respect to psychomotor speed and executive functions . This series of instruments has been successfully used previously in large multicentre studies . In addition, animal fluency for 1 minute  will assess semantic fluency – a combination of semantic memory and executive functions, which complements phonemic fluency within the Montreal Cognitive Assessment. The Digit Symbol Substitution Test (DSST) is a subtest of the Wechsler Adult Intelligence Scale . The DSST assesses aspects of cognition such as information processing speed, visuomotor coordination and attention. Scores on the DSST range from zero (worst) to 90 (best). Depressive symptoms are assessed using the Geriatric Depression Scale, where a score of five or more points indicates depression .
Quality of life and disability
The European Quality of life-5 Dimensions questionnaire (EQ-5D) is a widely used, non-disease specific preference-based instrument to measure health related quality of life, and is used for this purpose in the current study . In combination with published valuation algorithms, the EQ-5D provides a basis for the calculation of utilities, i.e., quality of life weights suitable to inform health economic evaluation studies. Disability is assessed using the Barthel Index .
AF-related medical resource use and costs
Health insurance claims data collected over the entire study period complement basic medical resource use information covered by the case report form for all patients, and will be used to evaluate medical resource use and medical costs. Collection of claims data is restricted to patients enrolled with four large health insurance companies and covers 40–50% of the study population. These companies were selected because of their interest in making data available for research, and because they are able to provide their data in a consistent format. One challenge that arises when Swiss claims data are used is to distinguish AF-related from non-AF-related use of medical resources. For inpatient episodes, Diagnosis-Related Group (DRG) codes will provide a basis for distinction. Given lack of International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 diagnosis codes on outpatient claims, outpatient services will be classified using the “Tessiner Code” (www.marcmuret.ch/tessinercode0.htm), and to-be-developed algorithms informed by drugs prescribed, services performed, and clinical events recorded in the Swiss-AF case report forms.
In addition, patient diaries are used to collect information on medical resource use outside the treating study centre in a subsample of 218 patients (13.7%), for whom health insurance claims data are also collected. The main purpose is to achieve a cross-validation of the claims data, to support the distinction of AF-related from non-AF-related resource use.
Finally, among patients aged <65 years at enrolment, a study-specific questionnaire is administered to assess days off work due to AF and potentially related conditions, changes in the actual and desired degree of employment, and early retirement, as a basis for estimating indirect costs of AF and hence the societal impact of the disease (appendix 2, available in a separate file for downloading).
Main clinical outcome measures
Main clinical outcome measures were prespecified and include stroke, systemic embolism, death, hospitalisation for heart failure, myocardial infarction and bleeding. If a clinical outcome measure is reported by the patient or detected in the medical records, detailed information is collected from the corresponding hospitals and/or treating physicians about this event. All main clinical outcome events are adjudicated by a clinical event committee that is unaware of other study-specific information. The following standardised definitions are used in Swiss-AF.
Stroke is defined as an acute focal neurological deficit of vascular origin, with evidence of focal infarction confirmed by imaging (computed tomography or cMRI) or autopsy. Stroke is categorised as ischaemic, haemorrhagic or of unknown cause (based on computed tomography, cMRI, autopsy and other ancillary investigations). Ischaemic strokes are further classified according to the TOAST classification . Fatal stroke is defined as death from any cause within 30 days after stroke.
Systemic embolism is defined as acute vascular occlusion of the extremities or any organ (kidneys, mesenteric arteries, spleen, retina or grafts) and must be documented by means of imaging, angiography, surgery or autopsy.
The cause of death is classified as being of cardiac, stroke, any cardiovascular, bleeding, non-cardiovascular or unknown aetiology.
Major bleeding is defined according to the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis criteria, as clinically overt bleeding with a fatal outcome, a reduction in haemoglobin level of ≥20 g/l within 7 days, transfusion of at least two units of blood, or symptomatic bleeding in a critical area or organ (intracranial, intraspinal, intraocular, pericardial, intra-articular, intramuscular with compartment syndrome, retroperitoneal) .
Hospitalisation for congestive heart failure
Hospitalization for congestive heart failure is defined as any unplanned hospitalisation for congestive heart failure that is associated with at least one overnight stay.
Myocardial infarction is defined as rise and/or fall of cardiac troponin with at least one value above the 99th percentile of the upper reference limit in a clinical setting consistent with myocardial ischaemia, and with at least one of the following: symptoms of ischaemia, new significant ST-T changes or new left bundle-branch block on ECG, development of pathological Q waves in the ECG, imaging evidence of new loss of viable myocardium or new regional wall motion abnormality, identification of an intracoronary thrombus by angiography or autopsy .
Drug adherence is a key factor in the care of patients with chronic diseases. Drug adherence in Swiss-AF is being assessed using a validated adherence questionnaire (8-item Morisky Medication Adherence Scale (MMAS-8)) .
Sample size and power
With 280 clinical stroke events expected and assuming a β of 0.20 and an α of 0.05, the detectable stroke hazard ratio is 1.5 for a binary predictor with a prevalence of 0.4. For binary predictors with a prevalence of 0.1, the detectable stroke hazard ratio would be 1.9. Sensitivity analyses shown in figs 3a and 3b demonstrate that the detectable hazard ratio does not change substantially if the recruitment is slightly lower than projected.
Silent cerebral infarction on magnetic resonance imaging
For the cMRI endpoint of silent cerebral infarction (SCI), we assume successful completion of two cMRI studies in 2160 patients (90% of the total sample without heart device), and an SCI incidence of 10% , such that 216 SCI events are expected to occur. Assuming a β of 0.20 and an α of 0.05, the detectable SCI hazard ratio will be 1.5 for a binary predictor with a prevalence of 0.4. For a binary predictor with a prevalence of 0.1, the detectable SCI hazard ratio would be 2.0. Again, a slightly lower recruitment rate does only slightly change the detectable hazard ratios, as shown in figs 4a and 4b.
For the main cognitive assessment endpoint we will use the MoCA total score. Assuming an enrolment of 2400 patients with a complete series of questionnaires and a standard deviation of 4 for the MoCA total score , a 1-point difference on the MoCA score can be shown with >99% power.
Up to 7 April 2017 the Swiss-AF study team has enrolled 2133 patients across 13 study centres into the cohort. Most centres are hospital based, although specific efforts are being made to also recruit AF patients from general practitioners. Recruitment rates are shown in figure 5. With the current recruitment rate of 15–20 patients per week, we expect that the recruitment target of 2400 patients will be reached by summer 2017.
Swiss-AF is a large, multicentre prospective cohort study of mainly elderly patients with AF. This project will establish a large interdisciplinary platform to study the interrelationships of AF and AF progression with structural and functional brain damage over time.
We expect that several important findings will emerge from Swiss-AF. Although the increased risk of cognitive dysfunction and dementia among patients with AF is well described [9–12], its underlying mechanisms are not well understood. Not surprisingly, one meta-analysis suggested that the relative risk of incident dementia is higher among individuals with a history of clinical stroke , but also remained significantly increased among AF patients without a history of stroke. Our study will offer opportunities to investigate whether the residual risk is due to silent, clinically not recognisable strokes or other structural brain abnormalities such as white matter lesions, microinfarctions or microbleeds. It will be particularly important to assess the effect of microbleeds, given the clear indication for oral anticoagulation for most patients with AF. Further, we will also assess in detail the influence of known cardiovascular risk factors such as obesity and hypertension on structural and function brain parameters [32, 33].
In addition, this long term study will shed light on the impact of AF progression over time on quality of life, symptoms and various cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular outcomes among patients with non-permanent AF [5, 34]. Detailed cost and quality of life-related analyses will provide key information on the quality and cost of AF-related medical resource use in Switzerland, and provide a basis for the health economic evaluation of alternative treatment strategies. Disability, drug adherence and quality of life are important patient related metrics that will help to better inform patients with AF. Finally, the study also aims to improve understanding of underlying AF-related mechanisms and detailed genetic analyses will be a particular focus of this project.
In addition to its many strengths, there are some potential limitations of this project. First, it is important to emphasise that Swiss-AF does not have a control group of patients without AF. However, extensive resources of other cohort studies in Switzerland and internationally are available for comparison, and through discussions with respective study leaders we tried to harmonise study definitions and recording protocols as much as possible. Second, cMRI is without the application of intravenous contrast agents. This decision was made because the application of gadolinium contrast agents has been associated with rare but significant risks, would have significantly increased the study costs and the burden for the patient, and the main parameters to be studied in Swiss-AF (stroke, microbleeds, microangiopathy) do not need the application of MRI contrast.
In conclusion, Swiss-AF is a large national prospective cohort of patients with AF in Switzerland. This study will provide pertinent new information on structural and functional brain damage in patients with AF and on other AF related complications, using a large variety of genetic, phenotypic and health economic parameters.
The Swiss-AF cohort study is supported by a grant of the Swiss National Science Foundation (Grant number 33CS30_1148474). The medication adherence substudy is being supported by Daiichi-Sankyo Switzerland.
JH Beer has received grant support, consultant fees and CME talk fees from Bayer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Daiichi-Sankyo, Pfizer and Sanofi Aventis. U Fischer received consultant fees from Covidien and an unrestricted grant from Boehringer Ingelheim for the SWITCH trial. J Wuerfel is the CEO of MIAC AG, Basel. G Moschovitis received consultant fees from Boehringer Ingelheim. M Kuehne received consulting fees from Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Daiichi-Sankyo, Pfizer and Bristol-Myers Squibb. D Conen received consulting fees and research grants from Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Daiichi-Sankyo, Pfizer and Bristol-Myers Squibb.
David Conen MD MPH, Population Health Research Institute, Barton Street East, CAN- Hamilton Ontario, conend[at]mcmaster.ca, or, Stefan Osswald MD, University Hospital, Petersgraben 4, CH-4031 Basel, stefan.osswald[at]usb.ch
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Appendix 1: Swiss-AF study investigators (in addition to all co-authors)
University Hospital Basel/Basel University: Stefanie Aeschbacher, Steffen Blum, Fatih Metin, Laura Doerig, Matylda Zimny, Anna Maseli, Lucien Eggimann, Peter Egli, Andreas Fischer, Thomas Kofler, Rahel Kreuzmann, Philipp Krisai, Pascal Meyre, Christoph Muff, Christiane Pudenz, Andreas Reusser, Javier Ruperti Repilado, Aleksandra Schweizer, Anne Springer, Thomas Szucs, Stephanie van der Lely, Jan van der Stouwe, Gian Voellmin, Mirco von Rotz.
University Hospital Bern: Faculty: Drahomir Aujesky, Juerg Fuhrer, Simon Jung, Heinrich Mattle; Research fellows: Luise Adam, Carole Elodie Aubert, Martin Feller, Regula Kronenberg, Elisavet Moutzouri, Claudio Schneider, Daniel Segna; Study nurses: Evelyne Abgottspon, Tanja Flückiger, Cindy Groen, Svenja Heger, Sarah Pfaffen.
Stadtspital Triemli Zurich: Christopher Beynon, Roger Dillier, Franz Eberli, Simone Fontana, Christine Franzini, Isabel Juchli, Claudia Liedtke, Jacqueline Nadler, Thayze Obst, Xiaoye Schneider, Katrin Studerus, Dominik Weishaupt.
Kantonspital Baden: Silke Kuest, Karin Scheuch, Denise Hischier, Nicole Bonetti, Corina Bello, Henriette Isberg, Alexandra Grau, Jonas Villinger, Mary-Monica Papaux.
Cardiocentro Lugano: Adriana Anesini, Cristina Camporini, Giulio Conte, Tiziano Moccetti.
Kantonsspital St. Gallen: Roman Brenner, Manuela Forrer, Michaela Gemperle.
Hôpital Cantonal Fribourg: Mathieu Firmann, Sandrine Foucras.
Luzerner Kantonsspital: Benjamin Berte, Andrea Kaeppeli, Brigitta Mehmann, Markus Pfeiffer, Ian Russi, Kai Schmidt, Vanessa Weberndoerfer, Mabelle Young, Melanie Zbinden
EOC Lugano: Lorenzo Baldecchi, Jane Frangi, Tatiana Terrot.
University Hospital Geneva: Hervé Gallet, Elise Guillermet, Francois Lazeyras, Karl-Olof Lovblad, Patrick Perret, Cheryl Teres.
University Hospital Lausanne: Nathalie Lauriers, Marie Mean Pascual, Sandrine Salzmann.
Bürgerspital Solothurn: Nisha Arenja, Andrea Grêt, Sandra Vitelli.
EOC Bellinzona: Jane Frangi, Augusto Gallino.
St. Anna Spital Luzern: Renate Schoenenberger-Berzins.
University of Zurich: Fabienne Witassek.
Medical Image Analysis Center AG Basel: Ernst-Wilhelm Radue, Tim Sinnecker.
Clinical Trial Unit Basel: Pascal Benkert, Thomas Fabbro, Patrick Simon
Schiller AG Baar: Ramun Schmid.
Appendix 2: Employment questionnaire for patients aged <65 years
The questionnaire is available as a separate file at: https://smw.ch/en/article/doi/smw.2017.14467/
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